When Will It End??

According to DNC rules whomever makes it to 2025 delegates, wins the nomination. Delegates are made up of pledged(won from votes from primaries and caucuses) and unpledged/super(commitments from elected and appointed party officials). Neither Clinton or Obama can make it to that number with pledged delegates, they must rely on the super delegates or unpledged delegates. Maybe super delegates are unpledged, but many have sure committed to a candidate. Hillary because of her own and her husband's long association in the Washington political process have made many loyal political friends and super donors. Barack had to build new political associations and donors from the scratch because he is new to Washington. He decided to make it a grass roots effort with many donors with small donations. It has been an uphill battle, but he has pulled within about 32 delegates of Clinton in super delegates. Most of the difference is her lead among the DNC party officials. Apparently most of the remaining super delegates are waiting for the outcomes of the remaining elections. Most of the political pundits have come to the conclusion that Clinton can't win on pledged delegates. Obama has the clear lead of about 167 pledged delegates. He also leads in the total vote count by another substantial number. Senator Clinton has said that pledged delegates don't need to vote for who they are pledged for. Technically she is correct, but delegates are elected on the basis of loyalty to their candidate. It is very unlikely they would change their vote. Why would Hillary make such an odd statement? I believe in an act of desperation, it is to give her supporters a reason to stay with her, and to keep the super delegates in check. So far that is working. While they are on hold, she believes that she must go very negative on Barack, and she has. I believe that worked for her in Texas and Ohio. New polls out indicate that Hillary's negative ratings have risen significantly while Barack's have remained about the same. It is uncertain that her huge embellishments of that 1996 Bosnia trip have been factored in. Going negative has helped Clinton in the short term, but it appears she may pay the price in the long term. In conclusion we are going to watch the elections play out to June 3 unless the Super Delegates decide to pick a candidate. I believe that will happen after North Carolina on May 6. Barack will be within 200 delegates of winning and I believe the Super Delegates will take him over the top to win the nomination! Currently, I feel that the super delegates think they owe the Clintons some more time. We have seen Clinton super donors threaten Speaker Pelosi because of her stand about super delegates following the will of the people: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2008/03/27/2008-03-27_hillary_clintons_wealthy_pals_warn_nancy.html

The super delegates know that Obama has passed the Presidential test; He has the most votes, most pledged delegates, and most states, and not many could have survived that huge Rev. Wright sermon onslaught like Barack did. For many that was the defining moment. Hillary's defining moment was the 1996 Bosnia sniper fire story. Who would you trust to be your President?....